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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 1 March 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233026
  1. 14
  2. 18
  3. 21
  4. 39
  5. 45
  6. 8

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 13% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,254 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-02-27All recent draws2023-03-04 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official14 18 21 39 45 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed14 18 21 39 45 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

71oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 95% of every possible ticket.

  • sum65th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 230 of each

14218times
18212times
21221times
39203times
45

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-01

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€9.1Mto 669k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang13 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang166%€6.0M
  • rang812%€1.1M
  • rang910%€861.3K
  • 6 other tiers12%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang13≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

223times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 225 of each

8202times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,253 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 21, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 February 2021 — its closest relative in 2,253 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 February 2023): 14 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 64th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang215≈ 1.7 by chance€12,396
  • rang3190≈ 43 by chance€239
  • rang41,309≈ 383 by chance€125
  • rang51,936≈ 1.8k by chance€50.50
  • rang616,025≈ 16k by chance€21.90
  • rang727,504≈ 26k by chance€9.90
  • rang8230,320≈ 230k by chance€4.70
  • rang9391,518€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 27,504 winners, 7% more than the 26k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang13€2,000,000
    rang215€12,396
    rang3190€239
    rang41,309€125
    rang51,936€50.50
    rang616,025€21.90
    rang727,504€9.90
    rang8230,320€4.70
    rang9391,518€2.20