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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 27 February 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233025
  1. 2
  2. 5
  3. 6
  4. 14
  5. 37
  6. 1

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 43% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,253 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-02-25All recent draws2023-03-01 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 5 6 14 37 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 5 6 14 37 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 February 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd32th
  • low89th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 230 of each

2222times
5230times
6232times
14217times
37

Prize breakdown · 2023-02-27

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.4Mto 488k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang613%€309.7K
  • rang839%€951.6K
  • rang921%€505.4K
  • 5 other tiers28%€673.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

231times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 225 of each

1236times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,252 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 5, 6) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 January 2017 — its closest relative in 2,252 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 February 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

64

The numbers add up to 64 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.7 by chance€163,762
  • rang329≈ 41 by chance€1,378
  • rang4315≈ 368 by chance€458
  • rang51,406≈ 1.8k by chance€61.20
  • rang615,880≈ 16k by chance€19.50
  • rang719,019≈ 25k by chance€12.60
  • rang8221,293≈ 221k by chance€4.30
  • rang9229,734€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 19,019 winners, 23% fewer than the 25k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang21€163,762
    rang329€1,378
    rang4315€458
    rang51,406€61.20
    rang615,880€19.50
    rang719,019€12.60
    rang8221,293€4.30
    rang9229,734€2.20