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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 8 February 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233017
  1. 16
  2. 21
  3. 24
  4. 34
  5. 44
  6. 7

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 39% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,245 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-02-06All recent draws2023-02-11 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official16 21 24 34 44 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed16 21 24 34 44 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 February 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 229 of each

16237times
21220times
24230times
34215times
44

Prize breakdown · 2023-02-08

  • Lines in play≈ 3.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 768k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 4lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • rang610%€285.2K
  • rang830%€874.9K
  • rang939%€1.1M
  • 5 other tiers21%€621.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

237times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 224 of each

7247times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,244 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (16, 21, 24, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 March 2017 — its closest relative in 2,244 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 February 2023): 21 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

139

The numbers add up to 139 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.6 by chance€151,090
  • rang357≈ 38 by chance€647
  • rang4309≈ 346 by chance€430
  • rang52,298≈ 1.7k by chance€34.50
  • rang614,187≈ 15k by chance€20.10
  • rang734,037≈ 23k by chance€6.50
  • rang8208,317≈ 208k by chance€4.20
  • rang9508,615€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 34,037 winners, 47% more than the 23k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang21€151,090
    rang357€647
    rang4309€430
    rang52,298€34.50
    rang614,187€20.10
    rang734,037€6.50
    rang8208,317€4.20
    rang9508,615€2.20