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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 25 January 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233011
  1. 18
  2. 21
  3. 26
  4. 32
  5. 44
  6. 10

Jackpot€6,000,000

The crowdHeld 17% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,239 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-01-23All recent draws2023-01-28 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official18 21 26 32 44 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed18 21 26 32 44 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd9th
  • low32th
  • widest gap22th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread20th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 228 of each

18211times
21218times
26240times
32220times
44

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-25

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.0Mto 573k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • rang613%€373.0K
  • rang838%€1.1M
  • rang922%€656.2K
  • 5 other tiers27%€813.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

235times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 224 of each

10223times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,238 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (18, 21, 26, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 January 2010 — its closest relative in 2,238 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 January 2023): 32 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

141

The numbers add up to 141 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€6,000,000
  • rang23≈ 1.8 by chance€65,901
  • rang333≈ 44 by chance€1,462
  • rang4355≈ 392 by chance€490
  • rang51,372≈ 1.9k by chance€75.80
  • rang616,009≈ 17k by chance€23.30
  • rang720,651≈ 26k by chance€14.00
  • rang8236,251≈ 236k by chance€4.80
  • rang9298,284€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,372 winners, 27% fewer than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€6,000,000
    rang23€65,901
    rang333€1,462
    rang4355€490
    rang51,372€75.80
    rang616,009€23.30
    rang720,651€14.00
    rang8236,251€4.80
    rang9298,284€2.20