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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 23 January 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233010
  1. 6
  2. 10
  3. 28
  4. 32
  5. 35
  6. 9

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,238 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-01-21All recent draws2023-01-25 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official6 10 28 32 35 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed6 10 28 32 35 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 66% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd9th
  • low32th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread29th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 228 of each

6230times
10222times
28225times
32219times
35

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-23

  • Lines in play≈ 3.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.5Mto 530k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • rang612%€293.1K
  • rang836%€895.3K
  • rang926%€651.1K
  • 5 other tiers26%€639.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

234times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 224 of each

9232times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,237 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (6, 28, 32, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 July 2020 — its closest relative in 2,237 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 January 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.5 by chance€155,512
  • rang325≈ 37 by chance€1,518
  • rang4272≈ 330 by chance€503
  • rang51,368≈ 1.6k by chance€59.80
  • rang613,087≈ 14k by chance€22.40
  • rang720,684≈ 22k by chance€11.00
  • rang8198,954≈ 199k by chance€4.50
  • rang9295,940€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,368 winners, 13% fewer than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang21€155,512
    rang325€1,518
    rang4272€503
    rang51,368€59.80
    rang613,087€22.40
    rang720,684€11.00
    rang8198,954€4.50
    rang9295,940€2.20