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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 24 December 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222154
  1. 6
  2. 12
  3. 41
  4. 46
  5. 47
  6. 6

Jackpot€7,000,000

The crowdHeld 4% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,225 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-12-21All recent draws2022-12-26 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official6 12 41 46 47 + 623 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed6 12 41 46 47 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 December 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread80th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 227 of each

6228times
12215times
41265times
46229times
47

Prize breakdown · 2022-12-24

  • Lines in play≈ 5.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.6Mto 916k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • rang612%€546.3K
  • rang837%€1.7M
  • rang925%€1.1M
  • 5 other tiers26%€1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

218times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 222 of each

6204times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,224 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (6, 12, 41, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 June 2012 — its closest relative in 2,224 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 December 2022): 12 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

152

The numbers add up to 152 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 46–47. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€7,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.5 by chance€288,725
  • rang356≈ 62 by chance€1,258
  • rang4395≈ 557 by chance€643
  • rang52,464≈ 2.7k by chance€61.60
  • rang620,537≈ 24k by chance€26.60
  • rang738,744≈ 37k by chance€10.90
  • rang8335,586≈ 336k by chance€5.00
  • rang9518,347€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 395 winners, 29% fewer than the 557 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€7,000,000
    rang21€288,725
    rang356€1,258
    rang4395€643
    rang52,464€61.60
    rang620,537€26.60
    rang738,744€10.90
    rang8335,586€5.00
    rang9518,347€2.20