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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 26 December 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222155
  1. 6
  2. 23
  3. 32
  4. 48
  5. 49
  6. 4

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,226 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-12-24All recent draws2022-12-28 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official6 23 32 48 49 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed6 23 32 48 49 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 December 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread88th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 227 of each

6229times
23237times
32218times
48216times
49

Prize breakdown · 2022-12-26

  • Lines in play≈ 2.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.3Mto 463k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • rang147%€2.0M
  • rang819%€813.9K
  • rang914%€596.4K
  • 5 other tiers20%€842.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

229times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 223 of each

4222times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,225 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 23, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 November 2022 — its closest relative in 2,225 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 December 2022): 6 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

158

The numbers add up to 158 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 48–49. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.2 by chance€140,085
  • rang323≈ 30 by chance€7,577
  • rang4201≈ 270 by chance€614
  • rang51,085≈ 1.3k by chance€67.90
  • rang610,474≈ 12k by chance€25.30
  • rang717,297≈ 18k by chance€11.90
  • rang8162,782≈ 163k by chance€5.00
  • rang9271,108€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,085 winners, 16% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€2,000,000
    rang20€140,085
    rang323€7,577
    rang4201€614
    rang51,085€67.90
    rang610,474€25.30
    rang717,297€11.90
    rang8162,782€5.00
    rang9271,108€2.20