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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 15 October 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222124
  1. 16
  2. 24
  3. 27
  4. 31
  5. 46
  6. 1

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 29% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,195 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-10-12All recent draws2022-10-17 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official16 24 27 31 46 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed16 24 27 31 46 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.

  • sum73th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 224 of each

16231times
24224times
27229times
31232times
46

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-15

  • Lines in play≈ 5.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.9Mto 719k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.26

Where the money went

  • rang613%€492.0K
  • rang839%€1.5M
  • rang920%€789.0K
  • 5 other tiers28%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.26 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

223times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 219 of each

1233times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,194 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (16, 24, 27, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 January 2013 — its closest relative in 2,194 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 22% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 October 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

144

The numbers add up to 144 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.4 by chance€130,450
  • rang336≈ 58 by chance€1,769
  • rang4505≈ 518 by chance€455
  • rang51,760≈ 2.5k by chance€77.90
  • rang621,579≈ 22k by chance€22.80
  • rang725,326≈ 35k by chance€15.10
  • rang8311,590≈ 312k by chance€4.80
  • rang9358,632€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,760 winners, 29% fewer than the 2.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang22€130,450
    rang336€1,769
    rang4505€455
    rang51,760€77.90
    rang621,579€22.80
    rang725,326€15.10
    rang8311,590€4.80
    rang9358,632€2.20