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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 12 October 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222123
  1. 7
  2. 17
  3. 39
  4. 40
  5. 44
  6. 3

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 13% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,194 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-10-10All recent draws2022-10-15 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official7 17 39 40 44 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed7 17 39 40 44 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum76th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 224 of each

7230times
17227times
39199times
40226times
44

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-12

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.8Mto 611k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • rang611%€317.7K
  • rang835%€970.4K
  • rang929%€791.3K
  • 4 other tiers25%€692.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

229times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 219 of each

3217times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,193 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 39, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 February 2020 — its closest relative in 2,193 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 October 2022): 40 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

147

The numbers add up to 147 — the 76th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.6 by chance€167,897
  • rang337≈ 39 by chance€5,645
  • rang4263≈ 350 by chance€562
  • rang51,549≈ 1.7k by chance€57.00
  • rang613,461≈ 15k by chance€23.60
  • rang725,206≈ 23k by chance€9.80
  • rang8210,950≈ 211k by chance€4.60
  • rang9359,687€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 13,461 winners, 11% fewer than the 15k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang20€167,897
    rang337€5,645
    rang4263€562
    rang51,549€57.00
    rang613,461€23.60
    rang725,206€9.80
    rang8210,950€4.60
    rang9359,687€2.20