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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 10 October 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222122
  1. 13
  2. 19
  3. 32
  4. 40
  5. 46
  6. 7

Jackpot€21,000,000

The crowdHeld 32% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,193 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-10-08All recent draws2022-10-12 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official13 19 32 40 46 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed13 19 32 40 46 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.

  • sum79th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread45th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 224 of each

13251times
19198times
32215times
40225times
46

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-10

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€24.2Mto 805k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • rang187%€21.0M
  • rang84.2%€1.0M
  • rang94.7%€1.1M
  • 6 other tiers4.4%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

222times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 219 of each

7240times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,192 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (32, 40, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 April 2018 — its closest relative in 2,192 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 October 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

150

The numbers add up to 150 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 115 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€21,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.8 by chance€175,799
  • rang348≈ 44 by chance€894
  • rang4336≈ 394 by chance€461
  • rang52,066≈ 1.9k by chance€44.70
  • rang615,608≈ 17k by chance€21.30
  • rang733,535≈ 26k by chance€7.70
  • rang8236,946≈ 237k by chance€4.30
  • rang9516,673€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 33,535 winners, 27% more than the 26k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€21,000,000
    rang21€175,799
    rang348€894
    rang4336€461
    rang52,066€44.70
    rang615,608€21.30
    rang733,535€7.70
    rang8236,946€4.30
    rang9516,673€2.20