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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 8 October 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222121
  1. 16
  2. 17
  3. 20
  4. 34
  5. 48
  6. 7

Jackpot€20,000,000

The crowdHeld 35% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,192 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-10-05All recent draws2022-10-10 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official16 17 20 34 48 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed16 17 20 34 48 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.

  • sum63th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread41th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 224 of each

16230times
17226times
20219times
34208times
48

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-08

  • Lines in play≈ 5.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.4Mto 1.1M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.26

Where the money went

  • rang610%€446.1K
  • rang831%€1.4M
  • rang936%€1.6M
  • 4 other tiers22%€971.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.26 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

213times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 219 of each

7239times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,191 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 17, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 November 2019 — its closest relative in 2,191 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 October 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

135

The numbers add up to 135 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€20,000,000
  • rang20≈ 2.4 by chance€236,369
  • rang352≈ 58 by chance€5,655
  • rang4356≈ 522 by chance€585
  • rang52,881≈ 2.5k by chance€43.10
  • rang620,003≈ 22k by chance€22.30
  • rang747,263≈ 35k by chance€7.30
  • rang8314,064≈ 314k by chance€4.30
  • rang9720,577€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 47,263 winners, 35% more than the 35k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€20,000,000
    rang20€236,369
    rang352€5,655
    rang4356€585
    rang52,881€43.10
    rang620,003€22.30
    rang747,263€7.30
    rang8314,064€4.30
    rang9720,577€2.20