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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 5 October 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222120
  1. 14
  2. 23
  3. 32
  4. 35
  5. 39
  6. 7

Jackpot€9,000,000

The crowdHeld 44% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,191 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-10-03All recent draws2022-10-08 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official14 23 32 35 39 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed14 23 32 35 39 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 223 of each

14213times
23230times
32214times
35226times
39

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-05

  • Lines in play≈ 3.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.0Mto 769k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 4lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • rang610%€300.7K
  • rang830%€916.7K
  • rang938%€1.2M
  • 5 other tiers22%€654.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

198times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 219 of each

7238times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,190 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 32, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 March 2020 — its closest relative in 2,190 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 October 2022): 23 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

143

The numbers add up to 143 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€9,000,000
  • rang23≈ 1.5 by chance€52,955
  • rang360≈ 37 by chance€646
  • rang4394≈ 331 by chance€355
  • rang52,108≈ 1.6k by chance€39.60
  • rang614,526≈ 14k by chance€20.70
  • rang729,913≈ 22k by chance€7.80
  • rang8199,272≈ 199k by chance€4.60
  • rang9523,025€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 29,913 winners, 35% more than the 22k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€9,000,000
    rang23€52,955
    rang360€646
    rang4394€355
    rang52,108€39.60
    rang614,526€20.70
    rang729,913€7.80
    rang8199,272€4.60
    rang9523,025€2.20