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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 3 October 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222119
  1. 7
  2. 20
  3. 23
  4. 31
  5. 40
  6. 1

Jackpot€8,000,000

The crowdHeld 40% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,190 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-10-01All recent draws2022-10-05 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official7 20 23 31 40 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed7 20 23 31 40 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

74oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 74 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.

  • sum45th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread45th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 223 of each

7229times
20218times
23229times
31231times
40

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-03

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.5Mto 484k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • rang613%€315.3K
  • rang839%€960.4K
  • rang921%€506.3K
  • 4 other tiers28%€687.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

224times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 219 of each

1232times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,189 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 20, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 February 2020 — its closest relative in 2,189 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 October 2022): 7 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

121

The numbers add up to 121 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€8,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.6 by chance€166,849
  • rang333≈ 40 by chance€6,290
  • rang4362≈ 363 by chance€406
  • rang51,273≈ 1.7k by chance€68.90
  • rang615,379≈ 16k by chance€20.50
  • rang718,068≈ 24k by chance€13.60
  • rang8218,279≈ 218k by chance€4.40
  • rang9230,156€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,273 winners, 27% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€8,000,000
    rang20€166,849
    rang333€6,290
    rang4362€406
    rang51,273€68.90
    rang615,379€20.50
    rang718,068€13.60
    rang8218,279€4.40
    rang9230,156€2.20