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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 18 May 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222060
  1. 14
  2. 22
  3. 23
  4. 36
  5. 45
  6. 7

Jackpot€16,000,000

The crowdHeld 34% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,131 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-05-16All recent draws2022-05-21 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official14 22 23 36 45 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed14 22 23 36 45 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 May 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum68th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 217 of each

14206times
22247times
23222times
36221times
45

Prize breakdown · 2022-05-18

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€19.6Mto 917k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • rang182%€16.0M
  • rang85.7%€1.1M
  • rang96.7%€1.3M
  • 6 other tiers5.8%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

207times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 213 of each

7234times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,130 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (22, 23, 36) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 April 2022 — its closest relative in 2,130 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 May 2022): 14 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

140

The numbers add up to 140 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€16,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.0 by chance€95,087
  • rang362≈ 49 by chance€749
  • rang4433≈ 438 by chance€387
  • rang52,683≈ 2.1k by chance€37.20
  • rang617,818≈ 19k by chance€20.20
  • rang740,797≈ 29k by chance€6.80
  • rang8263,973≈ 264k by chance€4.20
  • rang9591,366€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 40,797 winners, 39% more than the 29k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€16,000,000
    rang22€95,087
    rang362€749
    rang4433€387
    rang52,683€37.20
    rang617,818€20.20
    rang740,797€6.80
    rang8263,973€4.20
    rang9591,366€2.20