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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 21 May 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222061
  1. 1
  2. 7
  3. 12
  4. 21
  5. 41
  6. 4

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 25% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,132 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-05-18All recent draws2022-05-23 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 7 12 21 41 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 7 12 21 41 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 May 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd89th
  • low89th
  • widest gap73th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 217 of each

1224times
7220times
12205times
21209times
41

Prize breakdown · 2022-05-21

  • Lines in play≈ 6.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€5.9Mto 924k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • rang134%€2.0M
  • rang824%€1.4M
  • rang917%€1.0M
  • 6 other tiers25%€1.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.33 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

260times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 213 of each

4214times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,131 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 12, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 January 2020 — its closest relative in 2,131 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 May 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

82

The numbers add up to 82 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang23≈ 2.9 by chance€81,148
  • rang369≈ 72 by chance€861
  • rang4772≈ 645 by chance€278
  • rang53,245≈ 3.1k by chance€39.40
  • rang631,828≈ 28k by chance€14.40
  • rang741,150≈ 43k by chance€8.70
  • rang8388,396≈ 388k by chance€3.60
  • rang9458,596€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 772 winners, 20% more than the 645 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€2,000,000
    rang23€81,148
    rang369€861
    rang4772€278
    rang53,245€39.40
    rang631,828€14.40
    rang741,150€8.70
    rang8388,396€3.60
    rang9458,596€2.20