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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 16 May 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222059
  1. 4
  2. 14
  3. 21
  4. 32
  5. 33
  6. 1

Jackpot€15,000,000

The crowdHeld 22% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,130 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-05-14All recent draws2022-05-18 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 14 21 32 33 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 14 21 32 33 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 May 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.

  • sum25th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap17th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread29th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 217 of each

4218times
14205times
21208times
32207times
33

Prize breakdown · 2022-05-16

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.1Mto 590k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • rang613%€390.4K
  • rang838%€1.2M
  • rang921%€662.9K
  • 4 other tiers28%€852.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

225times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 213 of each

1225times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,129 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 14, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 March 2021 — its closest relative in 2,129 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 May 2022): 4, 32 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€15,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.9 by chance€207,044
  • rang333≈ 46 by chance€7,805
  • rang4403≈ 413 by chance€452
  • rang51,377≈ 2.0k by chance€79.00
  • rang616,828≈ 18k by chance€23.20
  • rang721,225≈ 28k by chance€14.30
  • rang8248,458≈ 248k by chance€4.80
  • rang9301,329€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,377 winners, 30% fewer than the 2.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€15,000,000
    rang20€207,044
    rang333€7,805
    rang4403€452
    rang51,377€79.00
    rang616,828€23.20
    rang721,225€14.30
    rang8248,458€4.80
    rang9301,329€2.20