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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 14 May 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222058
  1. 4
  2. 24
  3. 29
  4. 32
  5. 44
  6. 4

Jackpot€14,000,000

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,129 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-05-11All recent draws2022-05-16 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 24 29 32 44 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 24 29 32 44 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 May 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 58% of every possible ticket.

  • sum60th
  • odd9th
  • low32th
  • widest gap73th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 217 of each

4217times
24215times
29230times
32206times
44

Prize breakdown · 2022-05-14

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.4Mto 928k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • rang612%€514.7K
  • rang836%€1.6M
  • rang926%€1.2M
  • 5 other tiers26%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

222times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 213 of each

4213times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,128 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 32, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 May 2021 — its closest relative in 2,128 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 May 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

133

The numbers add up to 133 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€14,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.5 by chance€272,346
  • rang386≈ 62 by chance€773
  • rang4616≈ 555 by chance€389
  • rang53,468≈ 2.7k by chance€41.30
  • rang624,279≈ 24k by chance€21.20
  • rang741,386≈ 37k by chance€9.60
  • rang8334,308≈ 334k by chance€4.70
  • rang9523,479€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 3,468 winners, 31% more than the 2.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€14,000,000
    rang21€272,346
    rang386€773
    rang4616€389
    rang53,468€41.30
    rang624,279€21.20
    rang741,386€9.60
    rang8334,308€4.70
    rang9523,479€2.20