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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 26 January 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222012
  1. 14
  2. 16
  3. 33
  4. 38
  5. 45
  6. 10

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 9% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,083 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-01-24All recent draws2022-01-29 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official14 16 33 38 45 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed14 16 33 38 45 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 January 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.

  • sum75th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 212 of each

14202times
16223times
33217times
38229times
45

Prize breakdown · 2022-01-26

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.0Mto 532k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • rang613%€375.9K
  • rang839%€1.1M
  • rang921%€630.0K
  • 5 other tiers28%€819.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

203times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 208 of each

10201times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,082 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 33, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 June 2020 — its closest relative in 2,082 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 January 2022): 38 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

146

The numbers add up to 146 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.6 by chance€198,964
  • rang322≈ 39 by chance€2,207
  • rang4290≈ 352 by chance€604
  • rang51,185≈ 1.7k by chance€88.30
  • rang614,027≈ 15k by chance€26.80
  • rang718,364≈ 24k by chance€15.90
  • rang8211,644≈ 212k by chance€5.40
  • rang9286,377€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,185 winners, 29% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang21€198,964
    rang322€2,207
    rang4290€604
    rang51,185€88.30
    rang614,027€26.80
    rang718,364€15.90
    rang8211,644€5.40
    rang9286,377€2.20