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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 20 November 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211139
  1. 9
  2. 17
  3. 18
  4. 42
  5. 44
  6. 8

Jackpot€24,000,000

The crowdHeld 3% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,054 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-11-17All recent draws2021-11-22 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official9 17 18 42 44 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed9 17 18 42 44 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 November 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.

  • sum56th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 209 of each

9215times
17212times
18197times
42198times
44

Prize breakdown · 2021-11-20

  • Lines in play≈ 7.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€5.2Mto 1.2M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.38

Where the money went

  • rang612%€603.0K
  • rang836%€1.8M
  • rang927%€1.4M
  • 4 other tiers25%€1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.38 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

213times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 205 of each

8184times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,053 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 42, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 February 2021 — its closest relative in 2,053 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 November 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

130

The numbers add up to 130 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€24,000,000
  • rang20≈ 3.4 by chance€318,676
  • rang385≈ 83 by chance€4,664
  • rang4662≈ 745 by chance€424
  • rang53,530≈ 3.6k by chance€47.40
  • rang630,764≈ 32k by chance€19.60
  • rang751,633≈ 50k by chance€9.00
  • rang8448,636≈ 449k by chance€4.10
  • rang9643,751€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 662 winners, 11% fewer than the 745 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€24,000,000
    rang20€318,676
    rang385€4,664
    rang4662€424
    rang53,530€47.40
    rang630,764€19.60
    rang751,633€9.00
    rang8448,636€4.10
    rang9643,751€2.20