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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 17 November 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211138
  1. 4
  2. 36
  3. 37
  4. 40
  5. 43
  6. 6

Jackpot€23,000,000

The crowdHeld 20% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,053 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-11-15All recent draws2021-11-20 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 36 37 40 43 + 623 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 36 37 40 43 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 November 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum87th
  • odd32th
  • low9th
  • widest gap98th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread71th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 209 of each

4211times
36210times
37209times
40211times
43

Prize breakdown · 2021-11-17

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.9Mto 727k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • rang612%€463.3K
  • rang837%€1.4M
  • rang925%€979.8K
  • 5 other tiers26%€1.0M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

214times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 205 of each

6190times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,052 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (36, 40, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 June 2017 — its closest relative in 2,052 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 November 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

160

The numbers add up to 160 — the 87th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 36–37. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€23,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.8 by chance€122,394
  • rang331≈ 44 by chance€1,927
  • rang4310≈ 399 by chance€695
  • rang51,436≈ 1.9k by chance€89.60
  • rang614,707≈ 17k by chance€31.50
  • rang724,724≈ 27k by chance€14.50
  • rang8240,073≈ 240k by chance€5.90
  • rang9445,369€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,436 winners, 25% fewer than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€23,000,000
    rang22€122,394
    rang331€1,927
    rang4310€695
    rang51,436€89.60
    rang614,707€31.50
    rang724,724€14.50
    rang8240,073€5.90
    rang9445,369€2.20