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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 22 November 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211140
  1. 8
  2. 12
  3. 16
  4. 19
  5. 41
  6. 5

Jackpot€25,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,055 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-11-20All recent draws2021-11-24 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official8 12 16 19 41 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed8 12 16 19 41 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 November 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd32th
  • low89th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread45th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 210 of each

8189times
12195times
16219times
19195times
41

Prize breakdown · 2021-11-22

  • Lines in play≈ 5.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.4Mto 858k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.26

Where the money went

  • rang611%€371.7K
  • rang834%€1.1M
  • rang931%€1.0M
  • 5 other tiers24%€809.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.26 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

250times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 205 of each

5220times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,054 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 19, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 March 2021 — its closest relative in 2,054 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 November 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

96

The numbers add up to 96 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€25,000,000
  • rang23≈ 2.4 by chance€65,488
  • rang371≈ 58 by chance€675
  • rang4625≈ 522 by chance€277
  • rang53,137≈ 2.5k by chance€32.90
  • rang624,451≈ 22k by chance€15.20
  • rang741,270≈ 35k by chance€7.00
  • rang8314,483≈ 314k by chance€3.60
  • rang9474,096€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 3,137 winners, 26% more than the 2.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€25,000,000
    rang23€65,488
    rang371€675
    rang4625€277
    rang53,137€32.90
    rang624,451€15.20
    rang741,270€7.00
    rang8314,483€3.60
    rang9474,096€2.20