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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 15 November 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211137
  1. 7
  2. 8
  3. 34
  4. 41
  5. 42
  6. 8

Jackpot€22,000,000

The crowdHeld 13% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,052 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-11-13All recent draws2021-11-17 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official7 8 34 41 42 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed7 8 34 41 42 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 November 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap92th
  • neighbours98th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 209 of each

7214times
8188times
34193times
41249times
42

Prize breakdown · 2021-11-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.3Mto 728k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • rang611%€384.2K
  • rang835%€1.2M
  • rang928%€942.9K
  • 4 other tiers25%€835.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

197times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 205 of each

8183times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,051 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 34, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 October 2021 — its closest relative in 2,051 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 November 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

132

The numbers add up to 132 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8, 41–42. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€22,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.9 by chance€203,056
  • rang341≈ 46 by chance€6,161
  • rang4272≈ 417 by chance€657
  • rang51,857≈ 2.0k by chance€57.50
  • rang615,490≈ 18k by chance€24.80
  • rang730,610≈ 28k by chance€9.70
  • rang8251,146≈ 251k by chance€4.70
  • rang9428,583€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 15,490 winners, 14% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€22,000,000
    rang20€203,056
    rang341€6,161
    rang4272€657
    rang51,857€57.50
    rang615,490€24.80
    rang730,610€9.70
    rang8251,146€4.70
    rang9428,583€2.20