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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 30 October 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211130
  1. 11
  2. 12
  3. 30
  4. 43
  5. 46
  6. 9

Jackpot€15,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,045 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-10-27All recent draws2021-11-01 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official11 12 30 43 46 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed11 12 30 43 46 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.

  • sum71th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 209 of each

11204times
12192times
30198times
43212times
46

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-30

  • Lines in play≈ 9.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€7.0Mto 1.5M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.48

Where the money went

  • rang612%€819.4K
  • rang836%€2.5M
  • rang927%€1.9M
  • 5 other tiers26%€1.8M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.48 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

202times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 204 of each

9213times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,044 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 43, 46) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 August 2021 — its closest relative in 2,044 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 October 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 9 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

142

The numbers add up to 142 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€15,000,000
  • rang24≈ 4.3 by chance€108,230
  • rang389≈ 105 by chance€1,187
  • rang4805≈ 944 by chance€473
  • rang54,090≈ 4.5k by chance€55.60
  • rang637,076≈ 41k by chance€22.10
  • rang762,960≈ 63k by chance€10.10
  • rang8568,126≈ 568k by chance€4.40
  • rang9855,716€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 805 winners, 15% fewer than the 944 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€15,000,000
    rang24€108,230
    rang389€1,187
    rang4805€473
    rang54,090€55.60
    rang637,076€22.10
    rang762,960€10.10
    rang8568,126€4.40
    rang9855,716€2.20