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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 2 October 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211118
  1. 6
  2. 8
  3. 20
  4. 35
  5. 46
  6. 9

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,033 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-09-29All recent draws2021-10-04 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official6 8 20 35 46 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed6 8 20 35 46 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 207 of each

6209times
8186times
20200times
35211times
46

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-02

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.9Mto 840k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • rang612%€453.0K
  • rang836%€1.4M
  • rang927%€1.1M
  • 5 other tiers25%€984.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

200times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 203 of each

9210times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,032 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 35, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 January 2020 — its closest relative in 2,032 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 September 2021): 6 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.3 by chance€239,642
  • rang332≈ 56 by chance€1,828
  • rang4454≈ 503 by chance€465
  • rang52,067≈ 2.4k by chance€60.90
  • rang619,524≈ 22k by chance€23.20
  • rang732,988≈ 34k by chance€10.60
  • rang8302,662≈ 303k by chance€4.60
  • rang9482,004€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 2,067 winners, 14% fewer than the 2.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang21€239,642
    rang332€1,828
    rang4454€465
    rang52,067€60.90
    rang619,524€23.20
    rang732,988€10.60
    rang8302,662€4.60
    rang9482,004€2.20