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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 29 September 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211117
  1. 6
  2. 13
  3. 28
  4. 33
  5. 39
  6. 10

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 39% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,032 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-09-27All recent draws2021-10-02 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official6 13 28 33 39 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed6 13 28 33 39 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

76oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 76 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.

  • sum42th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread45th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 207 of each

6208times
13239times
28205times
33214times
39

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-29

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.7Mto 537k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • rang613%€342.8K
  • rang839%€1.0M
  • rang921%€565.4K
  • 5 other tiers28%€747.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

178times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 203 of each

10194times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,031 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 28, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 May 2019 — its closest relative in 2,031 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 42th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.8 by chance€181,264
  • rang335≈ 44 by chance€1,264
  • rang4378≈ 400 by chance€422
  • rang51,354≈ 1.9k by chance€70.40
  • rang616,886≈ 17k by chance€20.30
  • rang720,211≈ 27k by chance€13.20
  • rang8241,081≈ 241k by chance€4.30
  • rang9256,988€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,354 winners, 29% fewer than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang21€181,264
    rang335€1,264
    rang4378€422
    rang51,354€70.40
    rang616,886€20.30
    rang720,211€13.20
    rang8241,081€4.30
    rang9256,988€2.20