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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 21 August 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211100
  1. 2
  2. 8
  3. 19
  4. 29
  5. 46
  6. 2

Jackpot€17,000,000

The crowdHeld 28% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,015 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-08-18All recent draws2021-08-23 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 8 19 29 46 + 223 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 8 19 29 46 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.

  • sum25th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 206 of each

2204times
8184times
19189times
29219times
46

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-21

  • Lines in play≈ 6.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.4Mto 923k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • rang612%€547.8K
  • rang838%€1.7M
  • rang923%€1.0M
  • 5 other tiers27%€1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.33 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

198times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each

2185times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,014 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 8, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 June 2020 — its closest relative in 2,014 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 August 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€17,000,000
  • rang24≈ 3.0 by chance€72,433
  • rang365≈ 73 by chance€1,088
  • rang4707≈ 656 by chance€361
  • rang53,150≈ 3.1k by chance€48.30
  • rang629,612≈ 28k by chance€18.50
  • rang739,992≈ 44k by chance€10.60
  • rang8394,634≈ 395k by chance€4.20
  • rang9455,057€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 39,992 winners, 9% fewer than the 44k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€17,000,000
    rang24€72,433
    rang365€1,088
    rang4707€361
    rang53,150€48.30
    rang629,612€18.50
    rang739,992€10.60
    rang8394,634€4.20
    rang9455,057€2.20