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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 23 August 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211101
  1. 11
  2. 13
  3. 21
  4. 22
  5. 31
  6. 6

Jackpot€18,000,000

The crowdHeld 37% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,016 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-08-21All recent draws2021-08-25 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official11 13 21 22 31 + 623 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed11 13 21 22 31 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

26oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd89th
  • low89th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread7th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 206 of each

11202times
13236times
21194times
22232times
31

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-23

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 681k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • rang612%€344.7K
  • rang837%€1.0M
  • rang925%€710.5K
  • 5 other tiers26%€749.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

208times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 202 of each

6186times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,015 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 13, 22) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 March 2021 — its closest relative in 2,015 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 August 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

98

The numbers add up to 98 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€18,000,000
  • rang25≈ 2.3 by chance€36,443
  • rang370≈ 55 by chance€635
  • rang4697≈ 497 by chance€230
  • rang52,592≈ 2.4k by chance€36.90
  • rang625,163≈ 21k by chance€13.70
  • rang730,634≈ 33k by chance€8.70
  • rang8299,377≈ 299k by chance€3.50
  • rang9322,948€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 25,163 winners, 18% more than the 21k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€18,000,000
    rang25€36,443
    rang370€635
    rang4697€230
    rang52,592€36.90
    rang625,163€13.70
    rang730,634€8.70
    rang8299,377€3.50
    rang9322,948€2.20