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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 18 August 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211099
  1. 4
  2. 7
  3. 12
  4. 24
  5. 25
  6. 2

Jackpot€16,000,000

The crowdHeld 64% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,014 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-08-16All recent draws2021-08-21 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 7 12 24 25 + 223 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 7 12 24 25 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

30oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd32th
  • low99th
  • widest gap22th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 205 of each

4207times
7208times
12188times
24205times
25

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-18

  • Lines in play≈ 6.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.3Mto 783k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.31

Where the money went

  • rang612%€414.9K
  • rang838%€1.3M
  • rang922%€740.3K
  • 5 other tiers27%€902.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.31 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

192times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each

2184times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,013 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 12, 25) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 October 2020 — its closest relative in 2,013 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 August 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

72

The numbers add up to 72 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€16,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.8 by chance€219,478
  • rang384≈ 69 by chance€638
  • rang41,086≈ 621 by chance€178
  • rang53,160≈ 3.0k by chance€36.50
  • rang635,162≈ 27k by chance€11.80
  • rang733,753≈ 42k by chance€9.50
  • rang8373,743≈ 374k by chance€3.40
  • rang9336,497€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 1,086 winners, 75% more than the 621 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€16,000,000
    rang21€219,478
    rang384€638
    rang41,086€178
    rang53,160€36.50
    rang635,162€11.80
    rang733,753€9.50
    rang8373,743€3.40
    rang9336,497€2.20