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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 16 August 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211098
  1. 10
  2. 13
  3. 22
  4. 27
  5. 49
  6. 4

Jackpot€15,000,000

The crowdHeld 26% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,013 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-08-14All recent draws2021-08-18 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official10 13 22 27 49 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed10 13 22 27 49 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.

  • sum45th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread71th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 205 of each

10200times
13235times
22231times
27208times
49

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-16

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.8Mto 668k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • rang612%€331.4K
  • rang836%€1.0M
  • rang926%€725.9K
  • 5 other tiers26%€721.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

207times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each

4200times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,012 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 13, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 April 2020 — its closest relative in 2,012 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 August 2021): 49 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

121

The numbers add up to 121 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€15,000,000
  • rang25≈ 2.1 by chance€35,094
  • rang359≈ 52 by chance€726
  • rang4577≈ 467 by chance€268
  • rang52,513≈ 2.2k by chance€36.70
  • rang623,843≈ 20k by chance€13.90
  • rang730,507≈ 31k by chance€8.40
  • rang8281,048≈ 281k by chance€3.60
  • rang9329,942€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 23,843 winners, 19% more than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€15,000,000
    rang25€35,094
    rang359€726
    rang4577€268
    rang52,513€36.70
    rang623,843€13.90
    rang730,507€8.40
    rang8281,048€3.60
    rang9329,942€2.20