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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 11 August 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211096
  1. 5
  2. 6
  3. 13
  4. 21
  5. 43
  6. 4

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 23% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,011 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-08-09All recent draws2021-08-14 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 6 13 21 43 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 6 13 21 43 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum11th
  • odd89th
  • low89th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 205 of each

5203times
6207times
13234times
21193times
43

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-11

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.5Mto 599k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • rang612%€292.4K
  • rang836%€900.7K
  • rang927%€660.4K
  • 5 other tiers26%€637.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

208times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each

4199times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,010 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 6, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 June 2018 — its closest relative in 2,010 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 August 2021): 43 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

88

The numbers add up to 88 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.9 by chance€77,576
  • rang329≈ 46 by chance€1,306
  • rang4462≈ 416 by chance€296
  • rang51,962≈ 2.0k by chance€41.60
  • rang620,165≈ 18k by chance€14.50
  • rang725,747≈ 28k by chance€8.80
  • rang8250,185≈ 250k by chance€3.60
  • rang9300,183€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 20,165 winners, 13% more than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang22€77,576
    rang329€1,306
    rang4462€296
    rang51,962€41.60
    rang620,165€14.50
    rang725,747€8.80
    rang8250,185€3.60
    rang9300,183€2.20