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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 17 May 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211059
  1. 3
  2. 17
  3. 23
  4. 42
  5. 47
  6. 4

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,974 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-05-15All recent draws2021-05-19 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 17 23 42 47 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 17 23 42 47 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 54% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each

3198times
17207times
23210times
42189times
47

Prize breakdown · 2021-05-17

  • Lines in play≈ 3.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.3Mto 514k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • rang612%€275.6K
  • rang836%€838.4K
  • rang927%€622.8K
  • 5 other tiers26%€600.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

192times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 197 of each

4198times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,973 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 23, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 September 2020 — its closest relative in 1,973 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 May 2021): 47 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

132

The numbers add up to 132 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang23≈ 1.5 by chance€48,671
  • rang321≈ 36 by chance€1,697
  • rang4303≈ 324 by chance€424
  • rang51,436≈ 1.5k by chance€53.40
  • rang613,642≈ 14k by chance€20.20
  • rang720,584≈ 22k by chance€10.40
  • rang8194,969≈ 195k by chance€4.30
  • rang9283,072€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,436 winners, 7% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang23€48,671
    rang321€1,697
    rang4303€424
    rang51,436€53.40
    rang613,642€20.20
    rang720,584€10.40
    rang8194,969€4.30
    rang9283,072€2.20