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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 19 May 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211060
  1. 3
  2. 17
  3. 23
  4. 28
  5. 41
  6. 3

Jackpot€6,000,000

The crowdHeld 2% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,975 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-05-17All recent draws2021-05-22 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 17 23 28 41 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 17 23 28 41 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.

  • sum34th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each

3199times
17208times
23211times
28198times
41

Prize breakdown · 2021-05-19

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 666k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • rang612%€333.5K
  • rang836%€1.0M
  • rang928%€795.9K
  • 5 other tiers25%€726.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

242times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 197 of each

3195times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,974 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 17, 23, 41) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 July 2019 — its closest relative in 1,974 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 20% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 May 2021): 3, 17, 23 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

112

The numbers add up to 112 — the 33th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€6,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.9 by chance€88,458
  • rang356≈ 46 by chance€771
  • rang4441≈ 416 by chance€353
  • rang52,467≈ 2.0k by chance€37.70
  • rang618,525≈ 18k by chance€18.00
  • rang732,198≈ 28k by chance€8.00
  • rang8250,135≈ 250k by chance€4.10
  • rang9361,776€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 2,467 winners, 24% more than the 2.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€6,000,000
    rang22€88,458
    rang356€771
    rang4441€353
    rang52,467€37.70
    rang618,525€18.00
    rang732,198€8.00
    rang8250,135€4.10
    rang9361,776€2.20