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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 12 May 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211057
  1. 9
  2. 11
  3. 19
  4. 22
  5. 36
  6. 1

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 72% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,972 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-05-10All recent draws2021-05-15 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official9 11 19 22 36 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed9 11 19 22 36 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each

9205times
11198times
19185times
22225times
36

Prize breakdown · 2021-05-12

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 613k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • rang613%€367.8K
  • rang839%€1.1M
  • rang920%€571.2K
  • 5 other tiers28%€802.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

201times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 197 of each

1211times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,971 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (9, 11, 19, 36) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 January 2013 — its closest relative in 1,971 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 20% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 May 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

97

The numbers add up to 97 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.3 by chance€97,435
  • rang347≈ 56 by chance€1,012
  • rang4637≈ 501 by chance€269
  • rang51,960≈ 2.4k by chance€52.30
  • rang625,189≈ 22k by chance€14.60
  • rang724,263≈ 34k by chance€11.80
  • rang8301,514≈ 302k by chance€3.70
  • rang9259,625€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 24,263 winners, 28% fewer than the 34k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang22€97,435
    rang347€1,012
    rang4637€269
    rang51,960€52.30
    rang625,189€14.60
    rang724,263€11.80
    rang8301,514€3.70
    rang9259,625€2.20