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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 10 May 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211056
  1. 12
  2. 13
  3. 17
  4. 27
  5. 44
  6. 10

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 72% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,971 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-05-08All recent draws2021-05-12 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official12 13 17 27 44 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed12 13 17 27 44 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

70oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 95% of every possible ticket.

  • sum35th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread41th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each

12186times
13230times
17206times
27205times
44

Prize breakdown · 2021-05-10

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.2Mto 492k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • rang613%€285.9K
  • rang839%€874.6K
  • rang921%€461.2K
  • 5 other tiers28%€625.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

199times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 197 of each

10187times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,970 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 27, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 April 2021 — its closest relative in 1,970 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 May 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

113

The numbers add up to 113 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang24≈ 1.8 by chance€37,906
  • rang333≈ 45 by chance€1,121
  • rang4472≈ 404 by chance€283
  • rang51,508≈ 1.9k by chance€52.80
  • rang619,062≈ 17k by chance€15.00
  • rang718,763≈ 27k by chance€11.90
  • rang8242,955≈ 243k by chance€3.60
  • rang9209,623€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 18,763 winners, 30% fewer than the 27k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang24€37,906
    rang333€1,121
    rang4472€283
    rang51,508€52.80
    rang619,062€15.00
    rang718,763€11.90
    rang8242,955€3.60
    rang9209,623€2.20