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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 6 March 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211028
  1. 3
  2. 11
  3. 13
  4. 22
  5. 30
  6. 8

Jackpot€7,000,000

The crowdHeld 31% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,943 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-03-03All recent draws2021-03-08 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 11 13 22 30 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 11 13 22 30 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 March 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 198 of each

3196times
11194times
13228times
22220times
30

Prize breakdown · 2021-03-06

  • Lines in play≈ 7.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€11.4Mto 1.1M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.40

Where the money went

  • rang161%€7.0M
  • rang814%€1.6M
  • rang910%€1.2M
  • 6 other tiers14%€1.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.40 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

191times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 194 of each

8175times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,942 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 13, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 October 2019 — its closest relative in 1,942 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 March 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

79

The numbers add up to 79 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€7,000,000
  • rang26≈ 3.6 by chance€45,976
  • rang3157≈ 89 by chance€429
  • rang41,415≈ 799 by chance€172
  • rang54,946≈ 3.8k by chance€29.30
  • rang645,020≈ 34k by chance€11.60
  • rang753,693≈ 53k by chance€7.50
  • rang8481,085≈ 481k by chance€3.30
  • rang9542,539€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 1,415 winners, 77% more than the 799 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€7,000,000
    rang26€45,976
    rang3157€429
    rang41,415€172
    rang54,946€29.30
    rang645,020€11.60
    rang753,693€7.50
    rang8481,085€3.30
    rang9542,539€2.20