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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 3 March 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211027
  1. 8
  2. 19
  3. 38
  4. 41
  5. 49
  6. 7

Jackpot€6,000,000

The crowdHeld 36% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,942 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-03-01All recent draws2021-03-06 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official8 19 38 41 49 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed8 19 38 41 49 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 March 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum83th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread80th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 198 of each

8171times
19181times
38209times
41235times
49

Prize breakdown · 2021-03-03

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.2Mto 834k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 4lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • rang610%€313.4K
  • rang830%€960.6K
  • rang938%€1.2M
  • 5 other tiers22%€685.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

202times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 194 of each

7219times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,941 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (19, 38, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 September 2020 — its closest relative in 1,941 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 March 2021): 8 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

155

The numbers add up to 155 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€6,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.8 by chance€83,159
  • rang355≈ 43 by chance€738
  • rang4326≈ 389 by chance€449
  • rang52,247≈ 1.9k by chance€38.90
  • rang615,515≈ 17k by chance€20.20
  • rang735,953≈ 26k by chance€6.80
  • rang8234,294≈ 234k by chance€4.10
  • rang9546,017€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 35,953 winners, 38% more than the 26k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€6,000,000
    rang22€83,159
    rang355€738
    rang4326€449
    rang52,247€38.90
    rang615,515€20.20
    rang735,953€6.80
    rang8234,294€4.10
    rang9546,017€2.20