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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 8 March 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211029
  1. 8
  2. 19
  3. 24
  4. 38
  5. 40
  6. 10

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 33% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,944 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-03-06All recent draws2021-03-10 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official8 19 24 38 40 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed8 19 24 38 40 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 March 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.

  • sum55th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread41th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 198 of each

8172times
19182times
24195times
38210times
40

Prize breakdown · 2021-03-08

  • Lines in play≈ 3.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.4Mto 448k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • rang613%€302.1K
  • rang839%€929.3K
  • rang920%€482.5K
  • 5 other tiers28%€659.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

201times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 194 of each

10185times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,943 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 19, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 March 2021 — its closest relative in 1,943 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 March 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.5 by chance€159,957
  • rang319≈ 36 by chance€2,055
  • rang4327≈ 328 by chance€431
  • rang51,143≈ 1.6k by chance€73.60
  • rang613,923≈ 14k by chance€21.70
  • rang716,004≈ 22k by chance€14.70
  • rang8197,734≈ 198k by chance€4.70
  • rang9219,311€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,143 winners, 27% fewer than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang21€159,957
    rang319€2,055
    rang4327€431
    rang51,143€73.60
    rang613,923€21.70
    rang716,004€14.70
    rang8197,734€4.70
    rang9219,311€2.20