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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 1 March 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211026
  1. 4
  2. 8
  3. 14
  4. 21
  5. 47
  6. 9

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 9% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,941 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-02-27All recent draws2021-03-03 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 8 14 21 47 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 8 14 21 47 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 March 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd32th
  • low89th
  • widest gap92th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread88th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 198 of each

4198times
8170times
14193times
21188times
47

Prize breakdown · 2021-03-01

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.5Mto 575k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang612%€298.5K
  • rang836%€900.7K
  • rang927%€674.8K
  • 5 other tiers26%€650.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

188times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 194 of each

9198times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,940 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 21, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 September 2020 — its closest relative in 1,940 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 February 2021): 4 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

94

The numbers add up to 94 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.7 by chance€158,262
  • rang337≈ 42 by chance€1,044
  • rang4381≈ 374 by chance€366
  • rang51,718≈ 1.8k by chance€48.40
  • rang617,153≈ 16k by chance€17.40
  • rang723,558≈ 25k by chance€9.80
  • rang8225,178≈ 225k by chance€4.00
  • rang9306,707€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 17,153 winners, 7% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang21€158,262
    rang337€1,044
    rang4381€366
    rang51,718€48.40
    rang617,153€17.40
    rang723,558€9.80
    rang8225,178€4.00
    rang9306,707€2.20