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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 27 February 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211025
  1. 4
  2. 11
  3. 29
  4. 42
  5. 43
  6. 10

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 28% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,940 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-02-24All recent draws2021-03-01 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 11 29 42 43 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 11 29 42 43 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.

  • sum55th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread71th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 198 of each

4197times
11193times
29212times
42185times
43

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-27

  • Lines in play≈ 5.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.2Mto 808k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • rang613%€529.4K
  • rang838%€1.6M
  • rang921%€889.9K
  • 4 other tiers28%€1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.29 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

202times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 194 of each

10184times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,939 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 42, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 July 2020 — its closest relative in 1,939 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 February 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang20≈ 2.6 by chance€280,026
  • rang338≈ 64 by chance€9,168
  • rang4514≈ 580 by chance€480
  • rang51,994≈ 2.8k by chance€73.80
  • rang623,118≈ 25k by chance€22.90
  • rang728,824≈ 39k by chance€14.30
  • rang8349,110≈ 349k by chance€4.60
  • rang9404,502€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,994 winners, 28% fewer than the 2.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang20€280,026
    rang338€9,168
    rang4514€480
    rang51,994€73.80
    rang623,118€22.90
    rang728,824€14.30
    rang8349,110€4.60
    rang9404,502€2.20