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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 20 February 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211022
  1. 19
  2. 21
  3. 36
  4. 39
  5. 49
  6. 5

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 29% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,937 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-02-17All recent draws2021-02-22 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official19 21 36 39 49 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed19 21 36 39 49 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd89th
  • low32th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 198 of each

19179times
21187times
36197times
39174times
49

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-20

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€6.0Mto 923k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • rang133%€2.0M
  • rang822%€1.3M
  • rang921%€1.3M
  • 6 other tiers23%€1.4M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

201times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 194 of each

5215times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,936 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (19, 36, 39, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 August 2010 — its closest relative in 1,936 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 20% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 February 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

164

The numbers add up to 164 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.1 by chance€116,039
  • rang344≈ 52 by chance€1,287
  • rang4404≈ 465 by chance€506
  • rang52,365≈ 2.2k by chance€51.60
  • rang618,635≈ 20k by chance€23.50
  • rang736,521≈ 31k by chance€9.30
  • rang8280,131≈ 280k by chance€4.80
  • rang9584,808€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 36,521 winners, 17% more than the 31k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€2,000,000
    rang22€116,039
    rang344€1,287
    rang4404€506
    rang52,365€51.60
    rang618,635€23.50
    rang736,521€9.30
    rang8280,131€4.80
    rang9584,808€2.20