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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 23 January 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211010
  1. 1
  2. 13
  3. 19
  4. 24
  5. 48
  6. 5

Jackpot€11,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,925 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-01-20All recent draws2021-01-25 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 13 19 24 48 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 13 19 24 48 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 196 of each

1211times
13223times
19177times
24193times
48

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-23

  • Lines in play≈ 6.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€15.5Mto 1.1M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • rang171%€11.0M
  • rang810%€1.5M
  • rang98.9%€1.4M
  • 6 other tiers10%€1.6M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.35 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

192times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 192 of each

5213times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,924 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 13, 19) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 July 2019 — its closest relative in 1,924 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 January 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

105

The numbers add up to 105 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€11,000,000
  • rang23≈ 3.2 by chance€88,105
  • rang3102≈ 78 by chance€632
  • rang4847≈ 698 by chance€275
  • rang54,278≈ 3.3k by chance€32.50
  • rang632,608≈ 30k by chance€15.30
  • rang754,892≈ 47k by chance€7.00
  • rang8420,034≈ 420k by chance€3.60
  • rang9626,088€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 4,278 winners, 28% more than the 3.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€11,000,000
    rang23€88,105
    rang3102€632
    rang4847€275
    rang54,278€32.50
    rang632,608€15.30
    rang754,892€7.00
    rang8420,034€3.60
    rang9626,088€2.20