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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 20 January 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211009
  1. 11
  2. 21
  3. 22
  4. 32
  5. 40
  6. 9

Jackpot€10,000,000

The crowdHeld 4% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,924 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-01-18All recent draws2021-01-23 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official11 21 22 32 40 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed11 21 22 32 40 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.

  • sum51th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread29th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 196 of each

11192times
21184times
22218times
32187times
40

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-20

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.2Mto 697k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • rang612%€383.0K
  • rang836%€1.2M
  • rang927%€868.1K
  • 5 other tiers26%€833.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

200times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 192 of each

9196times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,923 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 21, 32) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 January 2021 — its closest relative in 1,923 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 January 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€10,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.9 by chance€101,212
  • rang340≈ 47 by chance€1,235
  • rang4350≈ 426 by chance€509
  • rang51,708≈ 2.0k by chance€62.30
  • rang616,162≈ 18k by chance€23.70
  • rang727,294≈ 29k by chance€10.90
  • rang8256,645≈ 257k by chance€4.50
  • rang9394,597€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,708 winners, 16% fewer than the 2.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€10,000,000
    rang22€101,212
    rang340€1,235
    rang4350€509
    rang51,708€62.30
    rang616,162€23.70
    rang727,294€10.90
    rang8256,645€4.50
    rang9394,597€2.20