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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 25 January 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211011
  1. 3
  2. 7
  3. 13
  4. 31
  5. 49
  6. 5

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 4% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,926 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-01-23All recent draws2021-01-27 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 7 13 31 49 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 7 13 31 49 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum24th
  • odd99th
  • low65th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread96th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 196 of each

3194times
7199times
13224times
31197times
49

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-25

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.2Mto 605k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang147%€2.0M
  • rang818%€748.8K
  • rang917%€709.9K
  • 6 other tiers19%€791.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

200times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 193 of each

5214times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,925 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 31, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 February 2020 — its closest relative in 1,925 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 January 2021): 13 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

103

The numbers add up to 103 — the 23th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang24≈ 1.7 by chance€32,993
  • rang375≈ 42 by chance€429
  • rang4649≈ 377 by chance€179
  • rang52,762≈ 1.8k by chance€25.10
  • rang621,095≈ 16k by chance€11.80
  • rang730,570≈ 25k by chance€6.30
  • rang8226,896≈ 227k by chance€3.30
  • rang9322,683€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 2,762 winners, 53% more than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€2,000,000
    rang24€32,993
    rang375€429
    rang4649€179
    rang52,762€25.10
    rang621,095€11.80
    rang730,570€6.30
    rang8226,896€3.30
    rang9322,683€2.20