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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 9 January 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211004
  1. 7
  2. 11
  3. 12
  4. 27
  5. 49
  6. 1

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 82% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,919 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-01-06All recent draws2021-01-11 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official7 11 12 27 49 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed7 11 12 27 49 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum27th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread84th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 196 of each

7198times
11191times
12181times
27198times
49

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-09

  • Lines in play≈ 7.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.4Mto 974k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.41

Where the money went

  • rang613%€555.9K
  • rang839%€1.7M
  • rang920%€876.8K
  • 5 other tiers28%€1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.41 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

199times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 192 of each

1207times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,918 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 12, 27) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 January 2020 — its closest relative in 1,918 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 January 2021): 11 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 27th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang23≈ 3.7 by chance€98,501
  • rang394≈ 90 by chance€767
  • rang41,142≈ 813 by chance€228
  • rang53,486≈ 3.9k by chance€44.50
  • rang642,115≈ 35k by chance€13.20
  • rang739,669≈ 54k by chance€10.90
  • rang8489,197≈ 489k by chance€3.50
  • rang9398,531€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 1,142 winners, 41% more than the 813 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang23€98,501
    rang394€767
    rang41,142€228
    rang53,486€44.50
    rang642,115€13.20
    rang739,669€10.90
    rang8489,197€3.50
    rang9398,531€2.20