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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 11 January 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211005
  1. 1
  2. 8
  3. 17
  4. 33
  5. 46
  6. 5

Jackpot€6,000,000

The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,920 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-01-09All recent draws2021-01-13 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 8 17 33 46 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 8 17 33 46 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap49th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 196 of each

1210times
8169times
17196times
33205times
46

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-11

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.6Mto 629k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • rang611%€284.8K
  • rang833%€866.5K
  • rang932%€821.7K
  • 5 other tiers24%€620.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

189times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 192 of each

5211times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,919 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 17, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 April 2019 — its closest relative in 1,919 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 January 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

105

The numbers add up to 105 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€6,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.6 by chance€151,003
  • rang337≈ 39 by chance€996
  • rang4331≈ 351 by chance€402
  • rang51,862≈ 1.7k by chance€42.60
  • rang614,988≈ 15k by chance€19.00
  • rang726,862≈ 23k by chance€8.20
  • rang8211,338≈ 211k by chance€4.10
  • rang9373,519€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 26,862 winners, 14% more than the 23k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€6,000,000
    rang21€151,003
    rang337€996
    rang4331€402
    rang51,862€42.60
    rang614,988€19.00
    rang726,862€8.20
    rang8211,338€4.10
    rang9373,519€2.20