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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 6 January 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211003
  1. 11
  2. 21
  3. 32
  4. 41
  5. 47
  6. 9

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 12% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,918 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-01-04All recent draws2021-01-09 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official11 21 32 41 47 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed11 21 32 41 47 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd89th
  • low32th
  • widest gap17th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread58th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 196 of each

11190times
21183times
32185times
41231times
47

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-06

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.1Mto 644k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang612%€366.2K
  • rang836%€1.1M
  • rang927%€834.5K
  • 5 other tiers26%€799.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

185times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 192 of each

9195times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,917 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 32, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 September 2018 — its closest relative in 1,917 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 January 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

152

The numbers add up to 152 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 36 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang27≈ 1.7 by chance€27,724
  • rang338≈ 41 by chance€1,247
  • rang4354≈ 373 by chance€483
  • rang51,547≈ 1.8k by chance€65.90
  • rang614,825≈ 16k by chance€24.70
  • rang723,959≈ 25k by chance€11.90
  • rang8224,442≈ 224k by chance€5.00
  • rang9379,319€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,547 winners, 13% fewer than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang27€27,724
    rang338€1,247
    rang4354€483
    rang51,547€65.90
    rang614,825€24.70
    rang723,959€11.90
    rang8224,442€5.00
    rang9379,319€2.20