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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Loto · draw

Monday, 3 August 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200093
  1. 23
  2. 30
  3. 42
  4. 43
  5. 48
  6. 7

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 46% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,851 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-08-01All recent draws2020-08-05 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official23 30 42 43 48 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed23 30 42 43 48 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 August 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.

  • sum98th
  • odd32th
  • low9th
  • widest gap22th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 189 of each

23198times
30183times
42172times
43196times
48

Prize breakdown · 2020-08-03

  • Lines in play≈ 2.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.2Mto 574k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 4lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • rang610%€214.1K
  • rang829%€649.4K
  • rang940%€871.1K
  • 5 other tiers21%€467.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

181times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 185 of each

7209times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,850 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (30, 42, 43, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 September 2016 — its closest relative in 1,850 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 19% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 August 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

186

The numbers add up to 186 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.1 by chance€113,490
  • rang328≈ 27 by chance€989
  • rang4177≈ 240 by chance€564
  • rang51,367≈ 1.1k by chance€43.60
  • rang69,309≈ 10k by chance€23.00
  • rang723,121≈ 16k by chance€7.20
  • rang8144,312≈ 144k by chance€4.50
  • rang9395,962€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 23,121 winners, 44% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang21€113,490
    rang328€989
    rang4177€564
    rang51,367€43.60
    rang69,309€23.00
    rang723,121€7.20
    rang8144,312€4.50
    rang9395,962€2.20