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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 1 August 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200092
  1. 9
  2. 17
  3. 18
  4. 25
  5. 38
  6. 9

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 11% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,850 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-07-29All recent draws2020-08-03 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official9 17 18 25 38 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed9 17 18 25 38 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 August 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.

  • sum28th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread29th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 189 of each

9188times
17185times
18179times
25177times
38

Prize breakdown · 2020-08-01

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.5Mto 808k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • rang612%€417.8K
  • rang836%€1.3M
  • rang926%€936.6K
  • 5 other tiers26%€908.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.27 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

200times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 185 of each

9185times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,849 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 25, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 August 2019 — its closest relative in 1,849 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 July 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

107

The numbers add up to 107 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang24≈ 2.4 by chance€55,207
  • rang377≈ 59 by chance€700
  • rang4547≈ 528 by chance€355
  • rang52,822≈ 2.5k by chance€41.10
  • rang623,474≈ 23k by chance€17.80
  • rang737,547≈ 35k by chance€8.60
  • rang8318,086≈ 318k by chance€4.00
  • rang9425,738€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 2,822 winners, 12% more than the 2.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang24€55,207
    rang377€700
    rang4547€355
    rang52,822€41.10
    rang623,474€17.80
    rang737,547€8.60
    rang8318,086€4.00
    rang9425,738€2.20