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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 13 May 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200058
  1. 4
  2. 17
  3. 38
  4. 43
  5. 49
  6. 8

Jackpot€7,000,000

The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,816 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-05-11All recent draws2020-05-16 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 17 38 43 49 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 17 38 43 49 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 May 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.

  • sum80th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap77th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 185 of each

4187times
17183times
38197times
43193times
49

Prize breakdown · 2020-05-13

  • Lines in play≈ 3.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.7Mto 582k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • rang612%€316.0K
  • rang835%€962.4K
  • rang928%€755.8K
  • 4 other tiers25%€687.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

188times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 182 of each

8164times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,815 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 38, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 February 2020 — its closest relative in 1,815 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 May 2020): 17 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

151

The numbers add up to 151 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€7,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.5 by chance€167,126
  • rang334≈ 37 by chance€6,115
  • rang4274≈ 333 by chance€537
  • rang51,562≈ 1.6k by chance€56.20
  • rang612,898≈ 14k by chance€24.50
  • rang723,076≈ 22k by chance€10.60
  • rang8200,510≈ 201k by chance€4.80
  • rang9343,539€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 12,898 winners, 10% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€7,000,000
    rang20€167,126
    rang334€6,115
    rang4274€537
    rang51,562€56.20
    rang612,898€24.50
    rang723,076€10.60
    rang8200,510€4.80
    rang9343,539€2.20