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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 11 May 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200057
  1. 3
  2. 5
  3. 17
  4. 33
  5. 34
  6. 10

Jackpot€6,000,000

The crowdHeld 39% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,815 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-05-09All recent draws2020-05-13 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 5 17 33 34 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 5 17 33 34 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 May 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap49th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 185 of each

3186times
5180times
17182times
33194times
34

Prize breakdown · 2020-05-11

  • Lines in play≈ 3.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.2Mto 423k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • rang613%€276.6K
  • rang839%€854.5K
  • rang920%€446.6K
  • 4 other tiers28%€603.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

173times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 181 of each

10175times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,814 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 33, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 September 2017 — its closest relative in 1,814 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 May 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

92

The numbers add up to 92 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€6,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.4 by chance€146,729
  • rang320≈ 35 by chance€9,127
  • rang4225≈ 315 by chance€574
  • rang51,032≈ 1.5k by chance€74.70
  • rang612,689≈ 14k by chance€21.80
  • rang715,696≈ 21k by chance€13.70
  • rang8189,891≈ 190k by chance€4.50
  • rang9202,988€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,032 winners, 32% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€6,000,000
    rang20€146,729
    rang320€9,127
    rang4225€574
    rang51,032€74.70
    rang612,689€21.80
    rang715,696€13.70
    rang8189,891€4.50
    rang9202,988€2.20